The Skilled Trader — LeapFX

Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning September 21st, 2020

Good Saturday morning to all of you here on wallstreetbets. I hope everyone on this sub made out pretty nicely in the market this past week, and is ready for the new trading week ahead.
Here is everything you need to know to get you ready for the trading week beginning September 21st, 2020.

Markets are expected to be choppy, but dip buyers could be looking at tech favorites in week ahead - (Source)

After another week of losses, tech could be at the heart of a tug of war as dip buyers look for bargains in some of their favorite names and others see the group as still too frothy.
In the past week, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq were both down about 0.6%, the third losing week. It was the S&P 500′s longest losing streak since October. Tech was broadly lower, with Amazon and Facebook both down 5% for the week. Information technology shares lost 1% but communications which includes Facebook and Google fell 2.3% for the week.
“I think every time you’ve had a significant pullback in the familiar names, that tends to draw in more money,” said Ed Keon, chief investment strategist at QMA. “You’ve had a little rotation toward value. That’s a healthy sign for the market. I don’t think that’s an unhealthy market even though stocks look pricey. Given how low interest rates are, stocks look like the only game in town.”
There are also a number of Fed speeches, but the most important will be the appearances by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell before three Congressional committees. At two of those, Tuesday and Thursday, Powell appears with Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin to discuss coronavirus aid.
Art Hogan, chief market strategist at National Securities, said he does not expect much from Powell after his comments following the Fed’s meeting this week, though the central bank chairman is likely to once more tell Congress fiscal stimulus is needed to help the economy recover.
Keon said it would be positive if there could be another stimulus deal but the market no longer expects it. “If we do get a deal, that would be really positive. I think at this point, there’s a little bit of a slowdown in news. We still have a ways to go before we get into earnings warnings season. We’re going to worry more about the presidential election and its aftermath,” said Keon.
Keon said investors are increasingly focused on the election and the potential for an uncertain outcome, as states deal with large amounts of mailed ballots for the first time. He said the concern is it could take weeks or months to determine the outcome if the race is close.
“It’s still six weeks to the election. We haven’t had the debates yet. That six weeks is a lifetime. Biden seems to be the favorite at this point, but I don’t think the market is betting on anything but higher volatility,” Keon said. President Donald Trump and former vice president Joe Biden hold their first debate Sept. 29.
“I think volatility is the norm, not the exception, until we get through the election,” said Hogan.
Investors have been hedging against extended volatility after the election. Patrick Kernan, who trades S&P options with Cardinal Capital, said the flow into S&P 500 options for January has been steady over the past several days. “The options markets are implying a contested election that could last until January,” he said. He said the market is not positioning around one candidate or other, just uncertainty.
Goldman Sachs strategists noted Friday that investors have pushed out some hedging further into November, though some investors appear to be betting on an outcome by Dec. 8, the date states with contested elections have to report.
There are also a few important reports on the economic calendar, including housing data on existing home sales Tuesday and new home sales Thursday. “The housing market has been solid and hopefully, we’ll get confirmation of that because people were upset by the decline in housing starts,” said Hogan.
Manufacturing PMI is released Wednesday and durable goods are reported Friday.

This past week saw the following moves in the S&P:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL S&P TREE MAP FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

Major Indices for this past week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR INDICES FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

Major Futures Markets as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR FUTURES INDICES AS OF FRIDAY!)

Economic Calendar for the Week Ahead:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL ECONOMIC CALENDAR FOR THE WEEK AHEAD!)

Percentage Changes for the Major Indices, WTD, MTD, QTD, YTD as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

S&P Sectors for the Past Week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Major Indices Pullback/Correction Levels as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!

Major Indices Rally Levels as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for this week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Here are the upcoming IPO's for this week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Election Charts You Need To See: Part 2

As we noted last week, the demand for election charts is off the charts (pun intended), so we are sharing some of our favorite election charts.
Without further ado, here are some more election charts you need to know as November 3 inches closer.
How stocks perform three months before the election has a stellar track record of predicting who will win in November. If stocks are higher, the incumbent party tends to win, while if stocks are lower, the incumbent party tends to lose. This indicator accurately predicted the winner 87% of the time (20 of 23) since the late 1920s.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
Building on this, if President Donald Trump is going to win, right about now is when the S&P 500 Index should start to outperform. Of course, if it weakens, it could mean we will be looking at a President Joe Biden soon.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
Speaking of presidents up for re-election, here’s what the S&P 500 historically has done during re-election years.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
Lastly, here are two final charts that may help forecast the outcome.
If real per capita disposable income is higher, the incumbent president usually wins. Conversely, if wages are weak, that bodes well for someone new in the White House. Given real per capita disposable income is up more than 7% this year, it would suggest President Trump should take more than 70% of the votes. Of course, this is greatly skewed due to the CARES Act, so we’d put a major asterisk next to this one.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
To sum up, Gallup poll approval ratings have done a nice job of predicting how many votes a president up for re-election might get. With a 42% Gallup approval rating currently, this comes out to 49% of the total votes for President Trump, which points to a close race.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Election Charts You Need To See: Part 3

One of the top requests we’ve received the past few weeks is for more charts on the US elections. We shared some of our favorite in Election Charts You Need to See: Part 1 and Part 2, and today’s the third blog in our series on this important event.
S&P 500 Index earnings are expected to jump close to 23% in 2021 according to FactSet, as the global economy recovers. Presidential nominee Joe Biden has made it very clear he will likely hike taxes, which could potentially cut 10 percentage points off earnings growth next year if implemented. If Biden wins, we would expect Chinese tariffs to be removed as well, which would offset some of that impact and according to our friends at Strategas Research Partners would suggest earnings growth of nearly 17%.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
As shown in our LPL Chart of the Day, how the US dollar does ahead of the election has been a great indicator of which party might win in November. If the dollar is weak three months before the election, this bodes well for the incumbent party, while the incumbent party tends to lose if the dollar is strong. This signal has been right 7 of the past 8 elections.
As we saw back in March, when trouble hits, the US dollar tends to do well, as investors flock to the safety of the world’s reserve currency. When things are calm, the dollar tends to weaken, which favors riskier assets. So far, the dollar is slightly lower, which would suggest a potential win for President Donald Trump.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
Also, the size of the tax increase proposed by Joe Biden as a percentage of gross domestic product (GDP) would be one of the largest ever and rival President Lyndon B. Johnson’s (LBJ) tax increases in the late 1960s. Let’s remember though, if there’s a split Congress, the chances of the full tax plan being implemented is quite slim. Additionally, a weaker economy would also reduce the chances of a large tax hike.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Seasonal Volatility Just Getting Started

The market's day-to-day volatility has picked up in September after experiencing more stable trading action during the summer months. This is not out of the ordinary. Historically, the most volatile time of the year for stocks has been between September and early November. You can see this in the chart below that shows the average absolute daily percentage change for each trading day of the year beginning on the first trading day of January through the last trading day of December. As shown, daily volatility is very consistent around the +/-0.70% level over the first eight months of the year, but then it starts to pick up beginning in September until it reaches a peak during the first week or two of November. From there, the holiday season takes over and daily volatility plummets right through the end of the year. As shown in the chart, unfortunately we've still got a ways to go to get to the top of the volatility mountain, so make sure you've got your climbing gear ready for the next six to eight weeks!
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Keeping Tabs On High Frequency Growth

The week ended September 11th showed a sharp decline in our index of weekly GDP versus the year before. As shown, our index can be quite volatile, but it does do a decent job tracking the general trajectory of GDP. Since peaking at an implied growth rate of +0.9% YoY on July 10th, our index has slid to -2% YoY, the lowest reading since mid-June.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
Taking a look at another tracker of short-term economic growth, below we show Weekly Economic Index data updated by the New York Fed each week. After decelerating sequentially YoY for the week ended September 4th, the WEI reported sequential YoY growth slower once again in the week ended September 11th. We also show what each high frequency tracker implies about quarterly growth. As shown, our tracker has consistently implied a higher quarterly growth rate than the Weekly Economic Index, and official data for the last two quarters. That said, Q3 is tracking at least 20%, with upside to the high-20s as the US continues to rebound from COVID. This post was originally published in our post-market macro report -- The Closer -- last night.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Sell(ing) Rosh Hashanah, Buy Yom Kippur

As the High Holidays approach you may remember the old saying on the Street, “Sell Rosh Hashanah, Buy Yom Kippur.” It gets tossed around every autumn when the “high holidays” are on the minds of traders as many of their Jewish colleagues take off to observe the Jewish New Year and Day of Atonement.
The basis for this, “Sell Rosh Hashanah, Buy Yom Kippur,” pattern is that with many traders and investors busy with religious observance and family, positions are closed out and volume fades creating a buying vacuum. Even in the age of algorithmic, computer, and high frequency trading these seasonal patterns persist as humans still need to turn the machines on and off and feed them money or take it away – and these algorithms and trading programs are written by people so the human influence is still there.
Holiday seasonality around official market holidays is something we pay close attention to (page 100 Stock Trader’s Almanac). Actual stats on the most observed Hebrew holidays have been compiled in the table here. We present the data back to 1971 and when the holiday falls on a weekend the prior market close is used. It’s no coincidence that Rosh Hashanah and Yom Kippur fall in September and/or October, two dangerous and sometimes opportune months.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
Perhaps it’s Talmudic wisdom but, selling stocks before the eight-day span of the high holidays has avoided many declines, especially during uncertain times. While being long Yom Kippur to Passover has produced 59% more advances, half as many losses and average gains of 6.7%.
This year the high holidays commence on Friday eve, September 18, and end Monday September 28 with Yom Kippur just before Octoberphobia. The current news flow already has folks selling ahead of the Jewish High Holidays, quite possibly setting up the market for further declines.

S&P 500 down 24 of 30 during week after September options expiration, average loss 0.95%

The week after September options expiration week, next week, has a dreadful history of declines most notably since 1990. The week after September options expiration week has been a nearly constant source of pain with only a few meaningful exceptions over the past 30 years. Substantial and across the board gains have occurred just four times: 1998, 2001, 2010 and 2016 while many more weeks were hit with sizable losses.
Full stats are in the following sea-of-red table. Average losses since 1990 are even worse; DJIA –1.01%, S&P 500 –0.95%, NASDAQ –0.95% and a sizable –1.42% for Russell 2000. End-of-Q3 portfolio restructuring is the most likely explanation for this trend as managers trim summer holdings and position for the fourth quarter.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
(CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S MOST NOTABLE EARNINGS RELEASES!)
(CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S HIGHEST VOLATILITY EARNINGS RELEASES!)
Below are some of the notable companies coming out with earnings releases this upcoming trading week ahead which includes the date/time of release & consensus estimates courtesy of Earnings Whispers:

Monday 9.21.20 Before Market Open:

([CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())
(NONE.)

Monday 9.21.20 After Market Close:

([CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())
(NONE.)

Tuesday 9.22.20 Before Market Open:

(CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Tuesday 9.22.20 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Wednesday 9.23.20 Before Market Open:

(CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Wednesday 9.23.20 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Thursday 9.24.20 Before Market Open:

(CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Thursday 9.24.20 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Friday 9.25.20 Before Market Open:

([CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())
(NONE.)

Friday 9.25.20 After Market Close:

([CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())
(NONE.)

Costco Wholesale Corp. $335.96

Costco Wholesale Corp. (COST) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:15 PM ET on Thursday, September 24, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $2.85 per share on revenue of $52.61 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $2.87 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 74% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 5.95% with revenue increasing by 10.76%. Short interest has decreased by 40.5% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 10.4% from its open following the earnings release to be 8.4% above its 200 day moving average of $310.06. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, September 18, 2020 there was some notable buying of 7,071 contracts of the $340.00 call expiring on Friday, September 25, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 5.0% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 1.7% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

AutoZone, Inc. -

AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:55 AM ET on Tuesday, September 22, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $24.69 per share on revenue of $3.98 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $24.85 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 59% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 9.30% with revenue decreasing by 0.21%. Short interest has decreased by 6.2% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 3.2% from its open following the earnings release to be 10.0% above its 200 day moving average of $1,095.56. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. Option traders are pricing in a 6.5% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 4.0% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Nike Inc $114.66

Nike Inc (NKE) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:15 PM ET on Tuesday, September 22, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.45 per share on revenue of $9.05 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.47 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 62% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 47.67% with revenue decreasing by 15.10%. Short interest has increased by 1.5% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 16.4% from its open following the earnings release to be 19.1% above its 200 day moving average of $96.30. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, September 18, 2020 there was some notable buying of 2,687 contracts of the $118.00 call expiring on Friday, September 25, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 7.1% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 4.9% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Aurora Cannabis Inc $6.53

Aurora Cannabis Inc (ACB) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:00 PM ET on Tuesday, September 22, 2020. The consensus estimate is for a loss of $0.29 per share on revenue of $54.64 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is ($0.36) per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 55% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estiamtes are for year-over-year revenue to decline 35.99%. Short interest has decreased by 91.2% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 21.8% from its open following the earnings release to be 73.6% below its 200 day moving average of $24.77. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, September 18, 2020 there was some notable buying of 1,300 contracts of the $7.00 call expiring on Friday, September 25, 2020.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Rite Aid Corp. $13.44

Rite Aid Corp. (RAD) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:00 AM ET on Thursday, September 24, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.10 per share on revenue of $5.76 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.15 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 67% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 16.67% with revenue increasing by 7.34%. Short interest has decreased by 17.1% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 7.2% from its open following the earnings release to be 7.6% below its 200 day moving average of $14.54. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Wednesday, September 16, 2020 there was some notable buying of 858 contracts of the $12.00 call expiring on Friday, September 25, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 20.6% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 22.5% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

General Mills, Inc. $57.32

General Mills, Inc. (GIS) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:00 AM ET on Wednesday, September 23, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.87 per share on revenue of $4.16 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.90 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 74% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 10.13% with revenue increasing by 3.94%. Short interest has decreased by 7.8% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 5.2% from its open following the earnings release to be 0.8% below its 200 day moving average of $57.76. Overall earnings estimates have been unchanged since the company's last earnings release. Option traders are pricing in a 6.5% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 2.5% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

CarMax, Inc. $103.07

CarMax, Inc. (KMX) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:50 AM ET on Thursday, September 24, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.96 per share on revenue of $5.17 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.06 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 54% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 31.43% with revenue decreasing by 0.60%. Short interest has decreased by 22.1% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 4.7% from its open following the earnings release to be 17.6% above its 200 day moving average of $87.67. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. Option traders are pricing in a 8.0% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 4.9% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Stitch Fix, Inc. $28.36

Stitch Fix, Inc. (SFIX) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:05 PM ET on Tuesday, September 22, 2020. The consensus estimate is for a loss of $0.18 per share on revenue of $415.11 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is ($0.14) per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 56% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for revenue of at least $433.00 million. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 357.14% with revenue decreasing by 3.94%. Short interest has decreased by 9.3% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 23.1% from its open following the earnings release to be 26.7% above its 200 day moving average of $22.38. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, September 18, 2020 there was some notable buying of 4,160 contracts of the $23.00 put expiring on Friday, September 25, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 21.0% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 11.0% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Aytu BioScience, Inc. $1.38

Aytu BioScience, Inc. (AYTU) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:05 PM ET on Thursday, September 24, 2020. The consensus estimate is for a loss of $0.05 per share on revenue of $10.90 million. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 62% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 96.15% with revenue increasing by 535.20%. Short interest has decreased by 39.4% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 22.9% from its open following the earnings release to be 13.8% above its 200 day moving average of $1.21. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. The stock has averaged a 3.5% move on earnings in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. $24.50

JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. (JKS) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:40 AM ET on Wednesday, September 23, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.40 per share on revenue of $1.07 billion. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 53% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 122.22% with revenue increasing by 6.26%. Short interest has decreased by 7.4% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 46.1% from its open following the earnings release to be 20.7% above its 200 day moving average of $20.30. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, August 28, 2020 there was some notable buying of 507 contracts of the $22.00 put and 502 contracts of the $25.00 call expiring on Friday, October 16, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 11.4% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 7.5% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

DISCUSS!

What are you all watching for in this upcoming trading week?
I hope you all have a wonderful weekend and a great trading week ahead wallstreetbets.
submitted by bigbear0083 to wallstreetbets [link] [comments]

Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning September 21st, 2020

Good Saturday morning to all of you here on stocks. I hope everyone on this sub made out pretty nicely in the market this past week, and is ready for the new trading week ahead.
Here is everything you need to know to get you ready for the trading week beginning September 21st, 2020.

Markets are expected to be choppy, but dip buyers could be looking at tech favorites in week ahead - (Source)

After another week of losses, tech could be at the heart of a tug of war as dip buyers look for bargains in some of their favorite names and others see the group as still too frothy.
In the past week, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq were both down about 0.6%, the third losing week. It was the S&P 500′s longest losing streak since October. Tech was broadly lower, with Amazon and Facebook both down 5% for the week. Information technology shares lost 1% but communications which includes Facebook and Google fell 2.3% for the week.
“I think every time you’ve had a significant pullback in the familiar names, that tends to draw in more money,” said Ed Keon, chief investment strategist at QMA. “You’ve had a little rotation toward value. That’s a healthy sign for the market. I don’t think that’s an unhealthy market even though stocks look pricey. Given how low interest rates are, stocks look like the only game in town.”
There are also a number of Fed speeches, but the most important will be the appearances by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell before three Congressional committees. At two of those, Tuesday and Thursday, Powell appears with Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin to discuss coronavirus aid.
Art Hogan, chief market strategist at National Securities, said he does not expect much from Powell after his comments following the Fed’s meeting this week, though the central bank chairman is likely to once more tell Congress fiscal stimulus is needed to help the economy recover.
Keon said it would be positive if there could be another stimulus deal but the market no longer expects it. “If we do get a deal, that would be really positive. I think at this point, there’s a little bit of a slowdown in news. We still have a ways to go before we get into earnings warnings season. We’re going to worry more about the presidential election and its aftermath,” said Keon.
Keon said investors are increasingly focused on the election and the potential for an uncertain outcome, as states deal with large amounts of mailed ballots for the first time. He said the concern is it could take weeks or months to determine the outcome if the race is close.
“It’s still six weeks to the election. We haven’t had the debates yet. That six weeks is a lifetime. Biden seems to be the favorite at this point, but I don’t think the market is betting on anything but higher volatility,” Keon said. President Donald Trump and former vice president Joe Biden hold their first debate Sept. 29.
“I think volatility is the norm, not the exception, until we get through the election,” said Hogan.
Investors have been hedging against extended volatility after the election. Patrick Kernan, who trades S&P options with Cardinal Capital, said the flow into S&P 500 options for January has been steady over the past several days. “The options markets are implying a contested election that could last until January,” he said. He said the market is not positioning around one candidate or other, just uncertainty.
Goldman Sachs strategists noted Friday that investors have pushed out some hedging further into November, though some investors appear to be betting on an outcome by Dec. 8, the date states with contested elections have to report.
There are also a few important reports on the economic calendar, including housing data on existing home sales Tuesday and new home sales Thursday. “The housing market has been solid and hopefully, we’ll get confirmation of that because people were upset by the decline in housing starts,” said Hogan.
Manufacturing PMI is released Wednesday and durable goods are reported Friday.

This past week saw the following moves in the S&P:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL S&P TREE MAP FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

Major Indices for this past week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR INDICES FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

Major Futures Markets as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR FUTURES INDICES AS OF FRIDAY!)

Economic Calendar for the Week Ahead:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL ECONOMIC CALENDAR FOR THE WEEK AHEAD!)

Percentage Changes for the Major Indices, WTD, MTD, QTD, YTD as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

S&P Sectors for the Past Week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Major Indices Pullback/Correction Levels as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!

Major Indices Rally Levels as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for this week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Here are the upcoming IPO's for this week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Election Charts You Need To See: Part 2

As we noted last week, the demand for election charts is off the charts (pun intended), so we are sharing some of our favorite election charts.
Without further ado, here are some more election charts you need to know as November 3 inches closer.
How stocks perform three months before the election has a stellar track record of predicting who will win in November. If stocks are higher, the incumbent party tends to win, while if stocks are lower, the incumbent party tends to lose. This indicator accurately predicted the winner 87% of the time (20 of 23) since the late 1920s.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
Building on this, if President Donald Trump is going to win, right about now is when the S&P 500 Index should start to outperform. Of course, if it weakens, it could mean we will be looking at a President Joe Biden soon.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
Speaking of presidents up for re-election, here’s what the S&P 500 historically has done during re-election years.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
Lastly, here are two final charts that may help forecast the outcome.
If real per capita disposable income is higher, the incumbent president usually wins. Conversely, if wages are weak, that bodes well for someone new in the White House. Given real per capita disposable income is up more than 7% this year, it would suggest President Trump should take more than 70% of the votes. Of course, this is greatly skewed due to the CARES Act, so we’d put a major asterisk next to this one.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
To sum up, Gallup poll approval ratings have done a nice job of predicting how many votes a president up for re-election might get. With a 42% Gallup approval rating currently, this comes out to 49% of the total votes for President Trump, which points to a close race.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Election Charts You Need To See: Part 3

One of the top requests we’ve received the past few weeks is for more charts on the US elections. We shared some of our favorite in Election Charts You Need to See: Part 1 and Part 2, and today’s the third blog in our series on this important event.
S&P 500 Index earnings are expected to jump close to 23% in 2021 according to FactSet, as the global economy recovers. Presidential nominee Joe Biden has made it very clear he will likely hike taxes, which could potentially cut 10 percentage points off earnings growth next year if implemented. If Biden wins, we would expect Chinese tariffs to be removed as well, which would offset some of that impact and according to our friends at Strategas Research Partners would suggest earnings growth of nearly 17%.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
As shown in our LPL Chart of the Day, how the US dollar does ahead of the election has been a great indicator of which party might win in November. If the dollar is weak three months before the election, this bodes well for the incumbent party, while the incumbent party tends to lose if the dollar is strong. This signal has been right 7 of the past 8 elections.
As we saw back in March, when trouble hits, the US dollar tends to do well, as investors flock to the safety of the world’s reserve currency. When things are calm, the dollar tends to weaken, which favors riskier assets. So far, the dollar is slightly lower, which would suggest a potential win for President Donald Trump.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
Also, the size of the tax increase proposed by Joe Biden as a percentage of gross domestic product (GDP) would be one of the largest ever and rival President Lyndon B. Johnson’s (LBJ) tax increases in the late 1960s. Let’s remember though, if there’s a split Congress, the chances of the full tax plan being implemented is quite slim. Additionally, a weaker economy would also reduce the chances of a large tax hike.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Seasonal Volatility Just Getting Started

The market's day-to-day volatility has picked up in September after experiencing more stable trading action during the summer months. This is not out of the ordinary. Historically, the most volatile time of the year for stocks has been between September and early November. You can see this in the chart below that shows the average absolute daily percentage change for each trading day of the year beginning on the first trading day of January through the last trading day of December. As shown, daily volatility is very consistent around the +/-0.70% level over the first eight months of the year, but then it starts to pick up beginning in September until it reaches a peak during the first week or two of November. From there, the holiday season takes over and daily volatility plummets right through the end of the year. As shown in the chart, unfortunately we've still got a ways to go to get to the top of the volatility mountain, so make sure you've got your climbing gear ready for the next six to eight weeks!
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Keeping Tabs On High Frequency Growth

The week ended September 11th showed a sharp decline in our index of weekly GDP versus the year before. As shown, our index can be quite volatile, but it does do a decent job tracking the general trajectory of GDP. Since peaking at an implied growth rate of +0.9% YoY on July 10th, our index has slid to -2% YoY, the lowest reading since mid-June.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
Taking a look at another tracker of short-term economic growth, below we show Weekly Economic Index data updated by the New York Fed each week. After decelerating sequentially YoY for the week ended September 4th, the WEI reported sequential YoY growth slower once again in the week ended September 11th. We also show what each high frequency tracker implies about quarterly growth. As shown, our tracker has consistently implied a higher quarterly growth rate than the Weekly Economic Index, and official data for the last two quarters. That said, Q3 is tracking at least 20%, with upside to the high-20s as the US continues to rebound from COVID. This post was originally published in our post-market macro report -- The Closer -- last night.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Sell(ing) Rosh Hashanah, Buy Yom Kippur

As the High Holidays approach you may remember the old saying on the Street, “Sell Rosh Hashanah, Buy Yom Kippur.” It gets tossed around every autumn when the “high holidays” are on the minds of traders as many of their Jewish colleagues take off to observe the Jewish New Year and Day of Atonement.
The basis for this, “Sell Rosh Hashanah, Buy Yom Kippur,” pattern is that with many traders and investors busy with religious observance and family, positions are closed out and volume fades creating a buying vacuum. Even in the age of algorithmic, computer, and high frequency trading these seasonal patterns persist as humans still need to turn the machines on and off and feed them money or take it away – and these algorithms and trading programs are written by people so the human influence is still there.
Holiday seasonality around official market holidays is something we pay close attention to (page 100 Stock Trader’s Almanac). Actual stats on the most observed Hebrew holidays have been compiled in the table here. We present the data back to 1971 and when the holiday falls on a weekend the prior market close is used. It’s no coincidence that Rosh Hashanah and Yom Kippur fall in September and/or October, two dangerous and sometimes opportune months.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
Perhaps it’s Talmudic wisdom but, selling stocks before the eight-day span of the high holidays has avoided many declines, especially during uncertain times. While being long Yom Kippur to Passover has produced 59% more advances, half as many losses and average gains of 6.7%.
This year the high holidays commence on Friday eve, September 18, and end Monday September 28 with Yom Kippur just before Octoberphobia. The current news flow already has folks selling ahead of the Jewish High Holidays, quite possibly setting up the market for further declines.

S&P 500 down 24 of 30 during week after September options expiration, average loss 0.95%

The week after September options expiration week, next week, has a dreadful history of declines most notably since 1990. The week after September options expiration week has been a nearly constant source of pain with only a few meaningful exceptions over the past 30 years. Substantial and across the board gains have occurred just four times: 1998, 2001, 2010 and 2016 while many more weeks were hit with sizable losses.
Full stats are in the following sea-of-red table. Average losses since 1990 are even worse; DJIA –1.01%, S&P 500 –0.95%, NASDAQ –0.95% and a sizable –1.42% for Russell 2000. End-of-Q3 portfolio restructuring is the most likely explanation for this trend as managers trim summer holdings and position for the fourth quarter.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
(CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S MOST NOTABLE EARNINGS RELEASES!)
(CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S HIGHEST VOLATILITY EARNINGS RELEASES!)
Below are some of the notable companies coming out with earnings releases this upcoming trading week ahead which includes the date/time of release & consensus estimates courtesy of Earnings Whispers:

Monday 9.21.20 Before Market Open:

([CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())
(NONE.)

Monday 9.21.20 After Market Close:

([CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())
(NONE.)

Tuesday 9.22.20 Before Market Open:

(CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Tuesday 9.22.20 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Wednesday 9.23.20 Before Market Open:

(CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Wednesday 9.23.20 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Thursday 9.24.20 Before Market Open:

(CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Thursday 9.24.20 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Friday 9.25.20 Before Market Open:

([CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())
(NONE.)

Friday 9.25.20 After Market Close:

([CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())
(NONE.)

Costco Wholesale Corp. $335.96

Costco Wholesale Corp. (COST) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:15 PM ET on Thursday, September 24, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $2.85 per share on revenue of $52.61 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $2.87 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 74% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 5.95% with revenue increasing by 10.76%. Short interest has decreased by 40.5% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 10.4% from its open following the earnings release to be 8.4% above its 200 day moving average of $310.06. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, September 18, 2020 there was some notable buying of 7,071 contracts of the $340.00 call expiring on Friday, September 25, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 5.0% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 1.7% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

AutoZone, Inc. -

AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:55 AM ET on Tuesday, September 22, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $24.69 per share on revenue of $3.98 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $24.85 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 59% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 9.30% with revenue decreasing by 0.21%. Short interest has decreased by 6.2% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 3.2% from its open following the earnings release to be 10.0% above its 200 day moving average of $1,095.56. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. Option traders are pricing in a 6.5% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 4.0% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Nike Inc $114.66

Nike Inc (NKE) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:15 PM ET on Tuesday, September 22, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.45 per share on revenue of $9.05 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.47 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 62% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 47.67% with revenue decreasing by 15.10%. Short interest has increased by 1.5% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 16.4% from its open following the earnings release to be 19.1% above its 200 day moving average of $96.30. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, September 18, 2020 there was some notable buying of 2,687 contracts of the $118.00 call expiring on Friday, September 25, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 7.1% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 4.9% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Aurora Cannabis Inc $6.53

Aurora Cannabis Inc (ACB) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:00 PM ET on Tuesday, September 22, 2020. The consensus estimate is for a loss of $0.29 per share on revenue of $54.64 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is ($0.36) per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 55% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estiamtes are for year-over-year revenue to decline 35.99%. Short interest has decreased by 91.2% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 21.8% from its open following the earnings release to be 73.6% below its 200 day moving average of $24.77. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, September 18, 2020 there was some notable buying of 1,300 contracts of the $7.00 call expiring on Friday, September 25, 2020.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Rite Aid Corp. $13.44

Rite Aid Corp. (RAD) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:00 AM ET on Thursday, September 24, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.10 per share on revenue of $5.76 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.15 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 67% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 16.67% with revenue increasing by 7.34%. Short interest has decreased by 17.1% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 7.2% from its open following the earnings release to be 7.6% below its 200 day moving average of $14.54. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Wednesday, September 16, 2020 there was some notable buying of 858 contracts of the $12.00 call expiring on Friday, September 25, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 20.6% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 22.5% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

General Mills, Inc. $57.32

General Mills, Inc. (GIS) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:00 AM ET on Wednesday, September 23, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.87 per share on revenue of $4.16 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.90 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 74% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 10.13% with revenue increasing by 3.94%. Short interest has decreased by 7.8% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 5.2% from its open following the earnings release to be 0.8% below its 200 day moving average of $57.76. Overall earnings estimates have been unchanged since the company's last earnings release. Option traders are pricing in a 6.5% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 2.5% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

CarMax, Inc. $103.07

CarMax, Inc. (KMX) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:50 AM ET on Thursday, September 24, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.96 per share on revenue of $5.17 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.06 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 54% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 31.43% with revenue decreasing by 0.60%. Short interest has decreased by 22.1% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 4.7% from its open following the earnings release to be 17.6% above its 200 day moving average of $87.67. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. Option traders are pricing in a 8.0% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 4.9% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Stitch Fix, Inc. $28.36

Stitch Fix, Inc. (SFIX) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:05 PM ET on Tuesday, September 22, 2020. The consensus estimate is for a loss of $0.18 per share on revenue of $415.11 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is ($0.14) per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 56% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for revenue of at least $433.00 million. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 357.14% with revenue decreasing by 3.94%. Short interest has decreased by 9.3% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 23.1% from its open following the earnings release to be 26.7% above its 200 day moving average of $22.38. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, September 18, 2020 there was some notable buying of 4,160 contracts of the $23.00 put expiring on Friday, September 25, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 21.0% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 11.0% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Aytu BioScience, Inc. $1.38

Aytu BioScience, Inc. (AYTU) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:05 PM ET on Thursday, September 24, 2020. The consensus estimate is for a loss of $0.05 per share on revenue of $10.90 million. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 62% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 96.15% with revenue increasing by 535.20%. Short interest has decreased by 39.4% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 22.9% from its open following the earnings release to be 13.8% above its 200 day moving average of $1.21. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. The stock has averaged a 3.5% move on earnings in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. $24.50

JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. (JKS) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:40 AM ET on Wednesday, September 23, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.40 per share on revenue of $1.07 billion. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 53% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 122.22% with revenue increasing by 6.26%. Short interest has decreased by 7.4% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 46.1% from its open following the earnings release to be 20.7% above its 200 day moving average of $20.30. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, August 28, 2020 there was some notable buying of 507 contracts of the $22.00 put and 502 contracts of the $25.00 call expiring on Friday, October 16, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 11.4% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 7.5% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

DISCUSS!

What are you all watching for in this upcoming trading week?
I hope you all have a wonderful weekend and a great trading week ahead stocks.
submitted by bigbear0083 to stocks [link] [comments]

Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning September 21st, 2020

Good Friday evening to all of you here on StockMarket. I hope everyone on this sub made out pretty nicely in the market this past week, and is ready for the new trading week ahead.
Here is everything you need to know to get you ready for the trading week beginning September 21st, 2020.

Markets are expected to be choppy, but dip buyers could be looking at tech favorites in week ahead - (Source)

After another week of losses, tech could be at the heart of a tug of war as dip buyers look for bargains in some of their favorite names and others see the group as still too frothy.
In the past week, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq were both down about 0.6%, the third losing week. It was the S&P 500′s longest losing streak since October. Tech was broadly lower, with Amazon and Facebook both down 5% for the week. Information technology shares lost 1% but communications which includes Facebook and Google fell 2.3% for the week.
“I think every time you’ve had a significant pullback in the familiar names, that tends to draw in more money,” said Ed Keon, chief investment strategist at QMA. “You’ve had a little rotation toward value. That’s a healthy sign for the market. I don’t think that’s an unhealthy market even though stocks look pricey. Given how low interest rates are, stocks look like the only game in town.”
There are also a number of Fed speeches, but the most important will be the appearances by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell before three Congressional committees. At two of those, Tuesday and Thursday, Powell appears with Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin to discuss coronavirus aid.
Art Hogan, chief market strategist at National Securities, said he does not expect much from Powell after his comments following the Fed’s meeting this week, though the central bank chairman is likely to once more tell Congress fiscal stimulus is needed to help the economy recover.
Keon said it would be positive if there could be another stimulus deal but the market no longer expects it. “If we do get a deal, that would be really positive. I think at this point, there’s a little bit of a slowdown in news. We still have a ways to go before we get into earnings warnings season. We’re going to worry more about the presidential election and its aftermath,” said Keon.
Keon said investors are increasingly focused on the election and the potential for an uncertain outcome, as states deal with large amounts of mailed ballots for the first time. He said the concern is it could take weeks or months to determine the outcome if the race is close.
“It’s still six weeks to the election. We haven’t had the debates yet. That six weeks is a lifetime. Biden seems to be the favorite at this point, but I don’t think the market is betting on anything but higher volatility,” Keon said. President Donald Trump and former vice president Joe Biden hold their first debate Sept. 29.
“I think volatility is the norm, not the exception, until we get through the election,” said Hogan.
Investors have been hedging against extended volatility after the election. Patrick Kernan, who trades S&P options with Cardinal Capital, said the flow into S&P 500 options for January has been steady over the past several days. “The options markets are implying a contested election that could last until January,” he said. He said the market is not positioning around one candidate or other, just uncertainty.
Goldman Sachs strategists noted Friday that investors have pushed out some hedging further into November, though some investors appear to be betting on an outcome by Dec. 8, the date states with contested elections have to report.
There are also a few important reports on the economic calendar, including housing data on existing home sales Tuesday and new home sales Thursday. “The housing market has been solid and hopefully, we’ll get confirmation of that because people were upset by the decline in housing starts,” said Hogan.
Manufacturing PMI is released Wednesday and durable goods are reported Friday.

This past week saw the following moves in the S&P:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL S&P TREE MAP FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

Major Indices for this past week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR INDICES FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

Major Futures Markets as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR FUTURES INDICES AS OF FRIDAY!)

Economic Calendar for the Week Ahead:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL ECONOMIC CALENDAR FOR THE WEEK AHEAD!)

Percentage Changes for the Major Indices, WTD, MTD, QTD, YTD as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

S&P Sectors for the Past Week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Major Indices Pullback/Correction Levels as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!

Major Indices Rally Levels as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for this week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Here are the upcoming IPO's for this week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Election Charts You Need To See: Part 2

As we noted last week, the demand for election charts is off the charts (pun intended), so we are sharing some of our favorite election charts.
Without further ado, here are some more election charts you need to know as November 3 inches closer.
How stocks perform three months before the election has a stellar track record of predicting who will win in November. If stocks are higher, the incumbent party tends to win, while if stocks are lower, the incumbent party tends to lose. This indicator accurately predicted the winner 87% of the time (20 of 23) since the late 1920s.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
Building on this, if President Donald Trump is going to win, right about now is when the S&P 500 Index should start to outperform. Of course, if it weakens, it could mean we will be looking at a President Joe Biden soon.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
Speaking of presidents up for re-election, here’s what the S&P 500 historically has done during re-election years.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
Lastly, here are two final charts that may help forecast the outcome.
If real per capita disposable income is higher, the incumbent president usually wins. Conversely, if wages are weak, that bodes well for someone new in the White House. Given real per capita disposable income is up more than 7% this year, it would suggest President Trump should take more than 70% of the votes. Of course, this is greatly skewed due to the CARES Act, so we’d put a major asterisk next to this one.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
To sum up, Gallup poll approval ratings have done a nice job of predicting how many votes a president up for re-election might get. With a 42% Gallup approval rating currently, this comes out to 49% of the total votes for President Trump, which points to a close race.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Election Charts You Need To See: Part 3

One of the top requests we’ve received the past few weeks is for more charts on the US elections. We shared some of our favorite in Election Charts You Need to See: Part 1 and Part 2, and today’s the third blog in our series on this important event.
S&P 500 Index earnings are expected to jump close to 23% in 2021 according to FactSet, as the global economy recovers. Presidential nominee Joe Biden has made it very clear he will likely hike taxes, which could potentially cut 10 percentage points off earnings growth next year if implemented. If Biden wins, we would expect Chinese tariffs to be removed as well, which would offset some of that impact and according to our friends at Strategas Research Partners would suggest earnings growth of nearly 17%.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
As shown in our LPL Chart of the Day, how the US dollar does ahead of the election has been a great indicator of which party might win in November. If the dollar is weak three months before the election, this bodes well for the incumbent party, while the incumbent party tends to lose if the dollar is strong. This signal has been right 7 of the past 8 elections.
As we saw back in March, when trouble hits, the US dollar tends to do well, as investors flock to the safety of the world’s reserve currency. When things are calm, the dollar tends to weaken, which favors riskier assets. So far, the dollar is slightly lower, which would suggest a potential win for President Donald Trump.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
Also, the size of the tax increase proposed by Joe Biden as a percentage of gross domestic product (GDP) would be one of the largest ever and rival President Lyndon B. Johnson’s (LBJ) tax increases in the late 1960s. Let’s remember though, if there’s a split Congress, the chances of the full tax plan being implemented is quite slim. Additionally, a weaker economy would also reduce the chances of a large tax hike.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Seasonal Volatility Just Getting Started

The market's day-to-day volatility has picked up in September after experiencing more stable trading action during the summer months. This is not out of the ordinary. Historically, the most volatile time of the year for stocks has been between September and early November. You can see this in the chart below that shows the average absolute daily percentage change for each trading day of the year beginning on the first trading day of January through the last trading day of December. As shown, daily volatility is very consistent around the +/-0.70% level over the first eight months of the year, but then it starts to pick up beginning in September until it reaches a peak during the first week or two of November. From there, the holiday season takes over and daily volatility plummets right through the end of the year. As shown in the chart, unfortunately we've still got a ways to go to get to the top of the volatility mountain, so make sure you've got your climbing gear ready for the next six to eight weeks!
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Keeping Tabs On High Frequency Growth

The week ended September 11th showed a sharp decline in our index of weekly GDP versus the year before. As shown, our index can be quite volatile, but it does do a decent job tracking the general trajectory of GDP. Since peaking at an implied growth rate of +0.9% YoY on July 10th, our index has slid to -2% YoY, the lowest reading since mid-June.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
Taking a look at another tracker of short-term economic growth, below we show Weekly Economic Index data updated by the New York Fed each week. After decelerating sequentially YoY for the week ended September 4th, the WEI reported sequential YoY growth slower once again in the week ended September 11th. We also show what each high frequency tracker implies about quarterly growth. As shown, our tracker has consistently implied a higher quarterly growth rate than the Weekly Economic Index, and official data for the last two quarters. That said, Q3 is tracking at least 20%, with upside to the high-20s as the US continues to rebound from COVID. This post was originally published in our post-market macro report -- The Closer -- last night.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Sell(ing) Rosh Hashanah, Buy Yom Kippur

As the High Holidays approach you may remember the old saying on the Street, “Sell Rosh Hashanah, Buy Yom Kippur.” It gets tossed around every autumn when the “high holidays” are on the minds of traders as many of their Jewish colleagues take off to observe the Jewish New Year and Day of Atonement.
The basis for this, “Sell Rosh Hashanah, Buy Yom Kippur,” pattern is that with many traders and investors busy with religious observance and family, positions are closed out and volume fades creating a buying vacuum. Even in the age of algorithmic, computer, and high frequency trading these seasonal patterns persist as humans still need to turn the machines on and off and feed them money or take it away – and these algorithms and trading programs are written by people so the human influence is still there.
Holiday seasonality around official market holidays is something we pay close attention to (page 100 Stock Trader’s Almanac). Actual stats on the most observed Hebrew holidays have been compiled in the table here. We present the data back to 1971 and when the holiday falls on a weekend the prior market close is used. It’s no coincidence that Rosh Hashanah and Yom Kippur fall in September and/or October, two dangerous and sometimes opportune months.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
Perhaps it’s Talmudic wisdom but, selling stocks before the eight-day span of the high holidays has avoided many declines, especially during uncertain times. While being long Yom Kippur to Passover has produced 59% more advances, half as many losses and average gains of 6.7%.
This year the high holidays commence on Friday eve, September 18, and end Monday September 28 with Yom Kippur just before Octoberphobia. The current news flow already has folks selling ahead of the Jewish High Holidays, quite possibly setting up the market for further declines.

S&P 500 down 24 of 30 during week after September options expiration, average loss 0.95%

The week after September options expiration week, next week, has a dreadful history of declines most notably since 1990. The week after September options expiration week has been a nearly constant source of pain with only a few meaningful exceptions over the past 30 years. Substantial and across the board gains have occurred just four times: 1998, 2001, 2010 and 2016 while many more weeks were hit with sizable losses.
Full stats are in the following sea-of-red table. Average losses since 1990 are even worse; DJIA –1.01%, S&P 500 –0.95%, NASDAQ –0.95% and a sizable –1.42% for Russell 2000. End-of-Q3 portfolio restructuring is the most likely explanation for this trend as managers trim summer holdings and position for the fourth quarter.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

STOCK MARKET VIDEO: Stock Market Analysis Video for Week Ending September 18th, 2020

(CLICK HERE FOR THE YOUTUBE VIDEO!)

STOCK MARKET VIDEO: ShadowTrader Video Weekly 9.20.20

([CLICK HERE FOR THE YOUTUBE VIDEO!]())
(VIDEO NOT YET POSTED.)
Here are the most notable companies (tickers) reporting earnings in this upcoming trading week ahead-
  • $COST
  • $AZO
  • $NKE
  • $ACB
  • $RAD
  • $GIS
  • $KMX
  • $SFIX
  • $AYTU
  • $JKS
  • $FDS
  • $DRI
  • $ACN
  • $TNP
  • $KBH
  • $BB
  • $CTAS
  • $NEOG
  • $WOR
  • $JBL
  • $QTT
  • $CNTG
  • $TCOM
  • $NTWK
  • $MTN
  • $FUL
  • $CAMP
  • $SANW
  • $AIR
  • $AIH
  • $SCHL
  • $ERYP
(CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S MOST NOTABLE EARNINGS RELEASES!)
(CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S HIGHEST VOLATILITY EARNINGS RELEASES!)
Below are some of the notable companies coming out with earnings releases this upcoming trading week ahead which includes the date/time of release & consensus estimates courtesy of Earnings Whispers:

Monday 9.21.20 Before Market Open:

([CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())
(NONE.)

Monday 9.21.20 After Market Close:

([CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())
(NONE.)

Tuesday 9.22.20 Before Market Open:

(CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Tuesday 9.22.20 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Wednesday 9.23.20 Before Market Open:

(CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Wednesday 9.23.20 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Thursday 9.24.20 Before Market Open:

(CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Thursday 9.24.20 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Friday 9.25.20 Before Market Open:

([CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())
(NONE.)

Friday 9.25.20 After Market Close:

([CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())
(NONE.)

Costco Wholesale Corp. $335.96

Costco Wholesale Corp. (COST) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:15 PM ET on Thursday, September 24, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $2.85 per share on revenue of $52.61 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $2.87 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 74% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 5.95% with revenue increasing by 10.76%. Short interest has decreased by 40.5% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 10.4% from its open following the earnings release to be 8.4% above its 200 day moving average of $310.06. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, September 18, 2020 there was some notable buying of 7,071 contracts of the $340.00 call expiring on Friday, September 25, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 5.0% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 1.7% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

AutoZone, Inc. -

AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:55 AM ET on Tuesday, September 22, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $24.69 per share on revenue of $3.98 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $24.85 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 59% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 9.30% with revenue decreasing by 0.21%. Short interest has decreased by 6.2% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 3.2% from its open following the earnings release to be 10.0% above its 200 day moving average of $1,095.56. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. Option traders are pricing in a 6.5% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 4.0% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Nike Inc $114.66

Nike Inc (NKE) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:15 PM ET on Tuesday, September 22, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.45 per share on revenue of $9.05 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.47 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 62% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 47.67% with revenue decreasing by 15.10%. Short interest has increased by 1.5% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 16.4% from its open following the earnings release to be 19.1% above its 200 day moving average of $96.30. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, September 18, 2020 there was some notable buying of 2,687 contracts of the $118.00 call expiring on Friday, September 25, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 7.1% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 4.9% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Aurora Cannabis Inc $6.53

Aurora Cannabis Inc (ACB) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:00 PM ET on Tuesday, September 22, 2020. The consensus estimate is for a loss of $0.29 per share on revenue of $54.64 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is ($0.36) per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 55% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estiamtes are for year-over-year revenue to decline 35.99%. Short interest has decreased by 91.2% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 21.8% from its open following the earnings release to be 73.6% below its 200 day moving average of $24.77. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, September 18, 2020 there was some notable buying of 1,300 contracts of the $7.00 call expiring on Friday, September 25, 2020.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Rite Aid Corp. $13.44

Rite Aid Corp. (RAD) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:00 AM ET on Thursday, September 24, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.10 per share on revenue of $5.76 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.15 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 67% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 16.67% with revenue increasing by 7.34%. Short interest has decreased by 17.1% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 7.2% from its open following the earnings release to be 7.6% below its 200 day moving average of $14.54. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Wednesday, September 16, 2020 there was some notable buying of 858 contracts of the $12.00 call expiring on Friday, September 25, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 20.6% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 22.5% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

General Mills, Inc. $57.32

General Mills, Inc. (GIS) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:00 AM ET on Wednesday, September 23, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.87 per share on revenue of $4.16 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.90 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 74% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 10.13% with revenue increasing by 3.94%. Short interest has decreased by 7.8% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 5.2% from its open following the earnings release to be 0.8% below its 200 day moving average of $57.76. Overall earnings estimates have been unchanged since the company's last earnings release. Option traders are pricing in a 6.5% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 2.5% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

CarMax, Inc. $103.07

CarMax, Inc. (KMX) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:50 AM ET on Thursday, September 24, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.96 per share on revenue of $5.17 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.06 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 54% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 31.43% with revenue decreasing by 0.60%. Short interest has decreased by 22.1% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 4.7% from its open following the earnings release to be 17.6% above its 200 day moving average of $87.67. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. Option traders are pricing in a 8.0% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 4.9% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Stitch Fix, Inc. $28.36

Stitch Fix, Inc. (SFIX) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:05 PM ET on Tuesday, September 22, 2020. The consensus estimate is for a loss of $0.18 per share on revenue of $415.11 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is ($0.14) per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 56% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for revenue of at least $433.00 million. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 357.14% with revenue decreasing by 3.94%. Short interest has decreased by 9.3% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 23.1% from its open following the earnings release to be 26.7% above its 200 day moving average of $22.38. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, September 18, 2020 there was some notable buying of 4,160 contracts of the $23.00 put expiring on Friday, September 25, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 21.0% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 11.0% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Aytu BioScience, Inc. $1.38

Aytu BioScience, Inc. (AYTU) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:05 PM ET on Thursday, September 24, 2020. The consensus estimate is for a loss of $0.05 per share on revenue of $10.90 million. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 62% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 96.15% with revenue increasing by 535.20%. Short interest has decreased by 39.4% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 22.9% from its open following the earnings release to be 13.8% above its 200 day moving average of $1.21. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. The stock has averaged a 3.5% move on earnings in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. $24.50

JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. (JKS) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:40 AM ET on Wednesday, September 23, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.40 per share on revenue of $1.07 billion. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 53% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 122.22% with revenue increasing by 6.26%. Short interest has decreased by 7.4% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 46.1% from its open following the earnings release to be 20.7% above its 200 day moving average of $20.30. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, August 28, 2020 there was some notable buying of 507 contracts of the $22.00 put and 502 contracts of the $25.00 call expiring on Friday, October 16, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 11.4% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 7.5% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

DISCUSS!

What are you all watching for in this upcoming trading week?
I hope you all have a wonderful weekend and a great trading week ahead StockMarket.
submitted by bigbear0083 to StockMarket [link] [comments]

Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning September 21st, 2020

Good Saturday morning to all of you here on smallstreetbets. I hope everyone on this sub made out pretty nicely in the market this past week, and is ready for the new trading week ahead.
Here is everything you need to know to get you ready for the trading week beginning September 21st, 2020.

Markets are expected to be choppy, but dip buyers could be looking at tech favorites in week ahead - (Source)

After another week of losses, tech could be at the heart of a tug of war as dip buyers look for bargains in some of their favorite names and others see the group as still too frothy.
In the past week, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq were both down about 0.6%, the third losing week. It was the S&P 500′s longest losing streak since October. Tech was broadly lower, with Amazon and Facebook both down 5% for the week. Information technology shares lost 1% but communications which includes Facebook and Google fell 2.3% for the week.
“I think every time you’ve had a significant pullback in the familiar names, that tends to draw in more money,” said Ed Keon, chief investment strategist at QMA. “You’ve had a little rotation toward value. That’s a healthy sign for the market. I don’t think that’s an unhealthy market even though stocks look pricey. Given how low interest rates are, stocks look like the only game in town.”
There are also a number of Fed speeches, but the most important will be the appearances by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell before three Congressional committees. At two of those, Tuesday and Thursday, Powell appears with Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin to discuss coronavirus aid.
Art Hogan, chief market strategist at National Securities, said he does not expect much from Powell after his comments following the Fed’s meeting this week, though the central bank chairman is likely to once more tell Congress fiscal stimulus is needed to help the economy recover.
Keon said it would be positive if there could be another stimulus deal but the market no longer expects it. “If we do get a deal, that would be really positive. I think at this point, there’s a little bit of a slowdown in news. We still have a ways to go before we get into earnings warnings season. We’re going to worry more about the presidential election and its aftermath,” said Keon.
Keon said investors are increasingly focused on the election and the potential for an uncertain outcome, as states deal with large amounts of mailed ballots for the first time. He said the concern is it could take weeks or months to determine the outcome if the race is close.
“It’s still six weeks to the election. We haven’t had the debates yet. That six weeks is a lifetime. Biden seems to be the favorite at this point, but I don’t think the market is betting on anything but higher volatility,” Keon said. President Donald Trump and former vice president Joe Biden hold their first debate Sept. 29.
“I think volatility is the norm, not the exception, until we get through the election,” said Hogan.
Investors have been hedging against extended volatility after the election. Patrick Kernan, who trades S&P options with Cardinal Capital, said the flow into S&P 500 options for January has been steady over the past several days. “The options markets are implying a contested election that could last until January,” he said. He said the market is not positioning around one candidate or other, just uncertainty.
Goldman Sachs strategists noted Friday that investors have pushed out some hedging further into November, though some investors appear to be betting on an outcome by Dec. 8, the date states with contested elections have to report.
There are also a few important reports on the economic calendar, including housing data on existing home sales Tuesday and new home sales Thursday. “The housing market has been solid and hopefully, we’ll get confirmation of that because people were upset by the decline in housing starts,” said Hogan.
Manufacturing PMI is released Wednesday and durable goods are reported Friday.

This past week saw the following moves in the S&P:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL S&P TREE MAP FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

Major Indices for this past week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR INDICES FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

Major Futures Markets as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR FUTURES INDICES AS OF FRIDAY!)

Economic Calendar for the Week Ahead:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL ECONOMIC CALENDAR FOR THE WEEK AHEAD!)

Percentage Changes for the Major Indices, WTD, MTD, QTD, YTD as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

S&P Sectors for the Past Week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Major Indices Pullback/Correction Levels as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!

Major Indices Rally Levels as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for this week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Here are the upcoming IPO's for this week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Election Charts You Need To See: Part 2

As we noted last week, the demand for election charts is off the charts (pun intended), so we are sharing some of our favorite election charts.
Without further ado, here are some more election charts you need to know as November 3 inches closer.
How stocks perform three months before the election has a stellar track record of predicting who will win in November. If stocks are higher, the incumbent party tends to win, while if stocks are lower, the incumbent party tends to lose. This indicator accurately predicted the winner 87% of the time (20 of 23) since the late 1920s.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
Building on this, if President Donald Trump is going to win, right about now is when the S&P 500 Index should start to outperform. Of course, if it weakens, it could mean we will be looking at a President Joe Biden soon.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
Speaking of presidents up for re-election, here’s what the S&P 500 historically has done during re-election years.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
Lastly, here are two final charts that may help forecast the outcome.
If real per capita disposable income is higher, the incumbent president usually wins. Conversely, if wages are weak, that bodes well for someone new in the White House. Given real per capita disposable income is up more than 7% this year, it would suggest President Trump should take more than 70% of the votes. Of course, this is greatly skewed due to the CARES Act, so we’d put a major asterisk next to this one.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
To sum up, Gallup poll approval ratings have done a nice job of predicting how many votes a president up for re-election might get. With a 42% Gallup approval rating currently, this comes out to 49% of the total votes for President Trump, which points to a close race.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Election Charts You Need To See: Part 3

One of the top requests we’ve received the past few weeks is for more charts on the US elections. We shared some of our favorite in Election Charts You Need to See: Part 1 and Part 2, and today’s the third blog in our series on this important event.
S&P 500 Index earnings are expected to jump close to 23% in 2021 according to FactSet, as the global economy recovers. Presidential nominee Joe Biden has made it very clear he will likely hike taxes, which could potentially cut 10 percentage points off earnings growth next year if implemented. If Biden wins, we would expect Chinese tariffs to be removed as well, which would offset some of that impact and according to our friends at Strategas Research Partners would suggest earnings growth of nearly 17%.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
As shown in our LPL Chart of the Day, how the US dollar does ahead of the election has been a great indicator of which party might win in November. If the dollar is weak three months before the election, this bodes well for the incumbent party, while the incumbent party tends to lose if the dollar is strong. This signal has been right 7 of the past 8 elections.
As we saw back in March, when trouble hits, the US dollar tends to do well, as investors flock to the safety of the world’s reserve currency. When things are calm, the dollar tends to weaken, which favors riskier assets. So far, the dollar is slightly lower, which would suggest a potential win for President Donald Trump.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
Also, the size of the tax increase proposed by Joe Biden as a percentage of gross domestic product (GDP) would be one of the largest ever and rival President Lyndon B. Johnson’s (LBJ) tax increases in the late 1960s. Let’s remember though, if there’s a split Congress, the chances of the full tax plan being implemented is quite slim. Additionally, a weaker economy would also reduce the chances of a large tax hike.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Seasonal Volatility Just Getting Started

The market's day-to-day volatility has picked up in September after experiencing more stable trading action during the summer months. This is not out of the ordinary. Historically, the most volatile time of the year for stocks has been between September and early November. You can see this in the chart below that shows the average absolute daily percentage change for each trading day of the year beginning on the first trading day of January through the last trading day of December. As shown, daily volatility is very consistent around the +/-0.70% level over the first eight months of the year, but then it starts to pick up beginning in September until it reaches a peak during the first week or two of November. From there, the holiday season takes over and daily volatility plummets right through the end of the year. As shown in the chart, unfortunately we've still got a ways to go to get to the top of the volatility mountain, so make sure you've got your climbing gear ready for the next six to eight weeks!
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Keeping Tabs On High Frequency Growth

The week ended September 11th showed a sharp decline in our index of weekly GDP versus the year before. As shown, our index can be quite volatile, but it does do a decent job tracking the general trajectory of GDP. Since peaking at an implied growth rate of +0.9% YoY on July 10th, our index has slid to -2% YoY, the lowest reading since mid-June.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
Taking a look at another tracker of short-term economic growth, below we show Weekly Economic Index data updated by the New York Fed each week. After decelerating sequentially YoY for the week ended September 4th, the WEI reported sequential YoY growth slower once again in the week ended September 11th. We also show what each high frequency tracker implies about quarterly growth. As shown, our tracker has consistently implied a higher quarterly growth rate than the Weekly Economic Index, and official data for the last two quarters. That said, Q3 is tracking at least 20%, with upside to the high-20s as the US continues to rebound from COVID. This post was originally published in our post-market macro report -- The Closer -- last night.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Sell(ing) Rosh Hashanah, Buy Yom Kippur

As the High Holidays approach you may remember the old saying on the Street, “Sell Rosh Hashanah, Buy Yom Kippur.” It gets tossed around every autumn when the “high holidays” are on the minds of traders as many of their Jewish colleagues take off to observe the Jewish New Year and Day of Atonement.
The basis for this, “Sell Rosh Hashanah, Buy Yom Kippur,” pattern is that with many traders and investors busy with religious observance and family, positions are closed out and volume fades creating a buying vacuum. Even in the age of algorithmic, computer, and high frequency trading these seasonal patterns persist as humans still need to turn the machines on and off and feed them money or take it away – and these algorithms and trading programs are written by people so the human influence is still there.
Holiday seasonality around official market holidays is something we pay close attention to (page 100 Stock Trader’s Almanac). Actual stats on the most observed Hebrew holidays have been compiled in the table here. We present the data back to 1971 and when the holiday falls on a weekend the prior market close is used. It’s no coincidence that Rosh Hashanah and Yom Kippur fall in September and/or October, two dangerous and sometimes opportune months.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
Perhaps it’s Talmudic wisdom but, selling stocks before the eight-day span of the high holidays has avoided many declines, especially during uncertain times. While being long Yom Kippur to Passover has produced 59% more advances, half as many losses and average gains of 6.7%.
This year the high holidays commence on Friday eve, September 18, and end Monday September 28 with Yom Kippur just before Octoberphobia. The current news flow already has folks selling ahead of the Jewish High Holidays, quite possibly setting up the market for further declines.

S&P 500 down 24 of 30 during week after September options expiration, average loss 0.95%

The week after September options expiration week, next week, has a dreadful history of declines most notably since 1990. The week after September options expiration week has been a nearly constant source of pain with only a few meaningful exceptions over the past 30 years. Substantial and across the board gains have occurred just four times: 1998, 2001, 2010 and 2016 while many more weeks were hit with sizable losses.
Full stats are in the following sea-of-red table. Average losses since 1990 are even worse; DJIA –1.01%, S&P 500 –0.95%, NASDAQ –0.95% and a sizable –1.42% for Russell 2000. End-of-Q3 portfolio restructuring is the most likely explanation for this trend as managers trim summer holdings and position for the fourth quarter.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

STOCK MARKET VIDEO: Stock Market Analysis Video for Week Ending September 18th, 2020

(CLICK HERE FOR THE YOUTUBE VIDEO!)

STOCK MARKET VIDEO: ShadowTrader Video Weekly 9.20.20

([CLICK HERE FOR THE YOUTUBE VIDEO!]())
(VIDEO NOT YET POSTED.)
Here are the most notable companies (tickers) reporting earnings in this upcoming trading week ahead-
  • $COST
  • $AZO
  • $NKE
  • $ACB
  • $RAD
  • $GIS
  • $KMX
  • $SFIX
  • $AYTU
  • $JKS
  • $FDS
  • $DRI
  • $ACN
  • $TNP
  • $KBH
  • $BB
  • $CTAS
  • $NEOG
  • $WOR
  • $JBL
  • $QTT
  • $CNTG
  • $TCOM
  • $NTWK
  • $MTN
  • $FUL
  • $CAMP
  • $SANW
  • $AIR
  • $AIH
  • $SCHL
  • $ERYP
(CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S MOST NOTABLE EARNINGS RELEASES!)
(CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S HIGHEST VOLATILITY EARNINGS RELEASES!)
Below are some of the notable companies coming out with earnings releases this upcoming trading week ahead which includes the date/time of release & consensus estimates courtesy of Earnings Whispers:

Monday 9.21.20 Before Market Open:

([CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())
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Monday 9.21.20 After Market Close:

([CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())
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Tuesday 9.22.20 Before Market Open:

(CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Tuesday 9.22.20 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Wednesday 9.23.20 Before Market Open:

(CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Wednesday 9.23.20 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Thursday 9.24.20 Before Market Open:

(CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Thursday 9.24.20 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Friday 9.25.20 Before Market Open:

([CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())
(NONE.)

Friday 9.25.20 After Market Close:

([CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())
(NONE.)

Costco Wholesale Corp. $335.96

Costco Wholesale Corp. (COST) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:15 PM ET on Thursday, September 24, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $2.85 per share on revenue of $52.61 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $2.87 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 74% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 5.95% with revenue increasing by 10.76%. Short interest has decreased by 40.5% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 10.4% from its open following the earnings release to be 8.4% above its 200 day moving average of $310.06. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, September 18, 2020 there was some notable buying of 7,071 contracts of the $340.00 call expiring on Friday, September 25, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 5.0% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 1.7% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

AutoZone, Inc. -

AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:55 AM ET on Tuesday, September 22, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $24.69 per share on revenue of $3.98 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $24.85 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 59% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 9.30% with revenue decreasing by 0.21%. Short interest has decreased by 6.2% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 3.2% from its open following the earnings release to be 10.0% above its 200 day moving average of $1,095.56. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. Option traders are pricing in a 6.5% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 4.0% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Nike Inc $114.66

Nike Inc (NKE) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:15 PM ET on Tuesday, September 22, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.45 per share on revenue of $9.05 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.47 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 62% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 47.67% with revenue decreasing by 15.10%. Short interest has increased by 1.5% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 16.4% from its open following the earnings release to be 19.1% above its 200 day moving average of $96.30. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, September 18, 2020 there was some notable buying of 2,687 contracts of the $118.00 call expiring on Friday, September 25, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 7.1% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 4.9% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Aurora Cannabis Inc $6.53

Aurora Cannabis Inc (ACB) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:00 PM ET on Tuesday, September 22, 2020. The consensus estimate is for a loss of $0.29 per share on revenue of $54.64 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is ($0.36) per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 55% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estiamtes are for year-over-year revenue to decline 35.99%. Short interest has decreased by 91.2% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 21.8% from its open following the earnings release to be 73.6% below its 200 day moving average of $24.77. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, September 18, 2020 there was some notable buying of 1,300 contracts of the $7.00 call expiring on Friday, September 25, 2020.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Rite Aid Corp. $13.44

Rite Aid Corp. (RAD) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:00 AM ET on Thursday, September 24, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.10 per share on revenue of $5.76 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.15 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 67% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 16.67% with revenue increasing by 7.34%. Short interest has decreased by 17.1% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 7.2% from its open following the earnings release to be 7.6% below its 200 day moving average of $14.54. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Wednesday, September 16, 2020 there was some notable buying of 858 contracts of the $12.00 call expiring on Friday, September 25, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 20.6% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 22.5% move in recent quarters.

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General Mills, Inc. $57.32

General Mills, Inc. (GIS) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:00 AM ET on Wednesday, September 23, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.87 per share on revenue of $4.16 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.90 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 74% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 10.13% with revenue increasing by 3.94%. Short interest has decreased by 7.8% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 5.2% from its open following the earnings release to be 0.8% below its 200 day moving average of $57.76. Overall earnings estimates have been unchanged since the company's last earnings release. Option traders are pricing in a 6.5% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 2.5% move in recent quarters.

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CarMax, Inc. $103.07

CarMax, Inc. (KMX) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:50 AM ET on Thursday, September 24, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.96 per share on revenue of $5.17 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.06 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 54% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 31.43% with revenue decreasing by 0.60%. Short interest has decreased by 22.1% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 4.7% from its open following the earnings release to be 17.6% above its 200 day moving average of $87.67. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. Option traders are pricing in a 8.0% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 4.9% move in recent quarters.

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Stitch Fix, Inc. $28.36

Stitch Fix, Inc. (SFIX) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:05 PM ET on Tuesday, September 22, 2020. The consensus estimate is for a loss of $0.18 per share on revenue of $415.11 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is ($0.14) per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 56% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for revenue of at least $433.00 million. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 357.14% with revenue decreasing by 3.94%. Short interest has decreased by 9.3% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 23.1% from its open following the earnings release to be 26.7% above its 200 day moving average of $22.38. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, September 18, 2020 there was some notable buying of 4,160 contracts of the $23.00 put expiring on Friday, September 25, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 21.0% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 11.0% move in recent quarters.

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Aytu BioScience, Inc. $1.38

Aytu BioScience, Inc. (AYTU) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:05 PM ET on Thursday, September 24, 2020. The consensus estimate is for a loss of $0.05 per share on revenue of $10.90 million. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 62% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 96.15% with revenue increasing by 535.20%. Short interest has decreased by 39.4% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 22.9% from its open following the earnings release to be 13.8% above its 200 day moving average of $1.21. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. The stock has averaged a 3.5% move on earnings in recent quarters.

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JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. $24.50

JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. (JKS) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:40 AM ET on Wednesday, September 23, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.40 per share on revenue of $1.07 billion. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 53% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 122.22% with revenue increasing by 6.26%. Short interest has decreased by 7.4% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 46.1% from its open following the earnings release to be 20.7% above its 200 day moving average of $20.30. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, August 28, 2020 there was some notable buying of 507 contracts of the $22.00 put and 502 contracts of the $25.00 call expiring on Friday, October 16, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 11.4% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 7.5% move in recent quarters.

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DISCUSS!

What are you all watching for in this upcoming trading week?
I hope you all have a wonderful weekend and a great trading week ahead smallstreetbets.
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A probably, mostly correct list of all games that Sips has played live.

Raw Data
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House Party 7/27/20 - Part Two

The camera is pointed at the exit through which Mark Dutch walks through, a bag over one shoulder as his other arm is taped up heavily, presumably from the battle with Maverick last week. As he holds onto his shoulder, he comes across Chad who walks over to Dutch.
Chad: Dutch.. you won’t believe what-
???: HEEEEEEYYY DUUTCHHYYYYYY!
The camera pans as we see a piss drunk Louis Blackwater standing by the entrance of the party, stumbling over to Dutch before nearly falling up against him.
Dutch: Louis.. what the fuck are you doing?
Blackwater: I AM HAVING THE TIME OF MY LIFE!
Blackwater slowly turns around a little as he pulls Dutch along with him through the door. Once inside, we hear no one yelling surprise. Instead, we see Suga Rise trying to steal a questionable oreo from the pocket of a homeless veteran while another guy is peeing into the punch bowl at this point.
Blackwater: Imma be real… I kinda fucked up…
Blackwater immediately turns towards a trashbin and starts to puke, his head hanging inside the bin as Suga Rise walks up and tries to steal his wallet. Dutch looks back at Chad before giving him his bag to hold, which Chad immediately drops on the floor. Dutch puts his hands by his mouth before beginning to yell.
Dutch: EVERYONE! FREE HAMBURGERS FOR VETERANS OUTSIDE!
As if they heard a gun shoot, all veterans begin to storm out through the exit of the party, the man who peed in the punch bowl still peeing as he stumbles behind the rest. Suga Rise tries to follow but Dutch puts a hand on her shoulder.
Dutch: You should head out the door, head left and take the third door to your right that reads “Paisner’s Office” because that’s where we store all our chocolate. Suga’s eyes bulge open as she starts to scream.
Suga Rise: CHOOCOOLAAAAATE?!?
Suga sprints quickly walks to the door and heads to the left, barely fitting through as Blackwater comes up with his face from the bin, puke dripping off his chin.
Dutch: How did you pay for this party, Louis? How did you buy that giant karaoke machine?
Blackwater: With the money from Maverick that we won.
Dutch: ...fair enough.
Blackwater: Can you bring me home?
Dutch lets out a sigh and looks back at Chad, wondering if he would like to help. Chad had already left, seeing his shadow in the distance through the door before turning back to Louis.
Blackwater: Dutchy?
Dutch: Yeah, Louis?
Blackwater: Can you bring me home?
Dutch, obviously having had plans for tonight looks at the bag that Chad left before looking back at Louis, who stares up at him like a drunk puppy.
Dutch: Fine.
Dutch takes the bag and throws it over his shoulder before grabbing Louis’s arm and taking him with him, walking out the doorframe and heading left and back towards the exit, stumbling together like the true tag team that they are.
We return to ringside, as all of a sudden the sounds of Anime fill the Auditorium as Cam'ron West appears at the entrance ramp and makes his way to the ring.
Paisner: I don't know what Cam'ron is doing here, he doesn't have a match booked on the card.
Before entering the ring, Cam'ron grabs a mic from the sidelines and awkwardly begins to speak, in the opposite direction to the hard cam.
Cam'ron: You guys here at WIR need to get yourselves together. There is no communication here. The guy in the back who plays the music had no idea I was coming out here for my match and I had to give him a $20 bill just to get him to play my Opening Theme. I really needed that money too. I don't know how I am gonna get home now, that's all the money I have until I get paid at my part-time job at the fast food restaurant next week.
One of the ringside workers goes up to Cam'ron to try and help him out.
Whispering Ringside Worker: Hey man, you're supposed to face the hard cam, that way we can get a good look at you.
Cam'ron whispers back to try to avoid having the mic pick up what he is saying but fails.
Cam'ron: Oh sorry man, you must be new. I'M CAM. The other guy is the one who is gonna face me. It's ok my guy, I was new here too recently, you'll get the hang of who everyone is.
The ringside worker walks away very confused to what just happened.
Cam'ron: Ok guys, where was I. Oh yea, I am out here tonight to have the match everybody out there in the WIR universe has been waiting for since it was announced Last week I was sadly beaten by Balandran-Sama and since then he has not returned any of my emails, I think that my messages are getting caught in his spam filter, but tonight I will go against the Baker in what will be the most dangerous challenge I have ever faced. SOUL ON A POLE. While my messages to Balandran-Sama keep getting messed up, I do keep getting messages every day from those guys the Board that Baker is in. They seem to want me to sign up to join their club or something but I am not just going to go quietly which is why tonight we will have the SOUL ON A POLE match and if I win, I will claim Baker's soul for my own. If I lose, my soul belongs to the Butcher, the Baker, the Mailman and the rest of the Board. Tonight is the night that I prove to everybody that I belong in this world. Tonight is the night that I truly start my life in this new world. Tonight we start again from zero!
Jim Baker comes out while laughing looking at the crowd and pointing at Cam while the crowd boo's him
Crowd: BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!
Jim Baker: Wow, I've been booed before but, this is a new level. What, because I took out some hippie now I'm the devil. Okay whatever the only thing funnier than the fact these people think their boo's affect me, is the fact that you've challenged me to a soul on a pole match.
Baker finishes walking down to the ring and rolls in
Jim Baker: Cam, are you insane what have I done to you for you to want my soul, was it our debut where, oh you won. I don't get it Cam, I haven't won a match yet but I still think, no, I know I can beat you. You've seen what I've done to Hippie John twice. Do you want that to be you, I think you're better off leaving WiR and work somewhere else, maybe even leave wrestling in general. But if you look at the card, this isn't a scheduled match, this doesn't have to happen you have a chance to leave.
Baker looks around at the crowd as they boo him then he looks back at Cam
Jim Baker: Ya' know what...
Baker hits Cam with the mic knocking him to the ground Baker leaves the ring to grab a steel chair as Cam gets up, Baker gets back in the ring but Cam dropkicks the steel chair into Baker surprising him but not quite knocking him down only stunning him against the ropes Cam goes to clothesline him out of the ring but Baker reverses it throwing Cam onto the apron Cam goes to springboard off the ropes but slips and falls into the ring Baker takes advantage of it and gets the chair and beats Cam down with it hitting him on the back over and over Baker throws the chair out of the ring and just beats Cam down Baker gets up yelling at Cam to stand when Cam, finally gets up Baker kicks him picking him up for a powerbomb. Baker grabs Cam's legs turning him over for a Boston Crab Cam tries his best to get out but can't and after Baker thinks he's done enough he lets it go and walks to the back.
We open our scene, as we see Buster Braggadocio backstage in the locker room, as we hear the locker room door open, and see one man dragging in a whiteboard, Stephen Romero. Bringing it over near Buster, as Romero busts out a dry erase marker from his pocket, and begins to talk.
Romero: Alright, so in Ivanov’s corner, he’ll likely has his tag partner in Vargas plus Nova and Alpha. That’s 3 men in his corner versus one in your corner in me. In terms of my friends, Rizwan is hurt. And Specialist….i’m not sure how compatible exactly they are with you. So we really might just be alone here. So, I was think-
Buster: I’ve got a problem with this.
Romero: I…..have not started explaining my plans.
Buster: And you’re not gonna get to long as you’re using a whiteboard for this! Let me go get something better!
Buster leaves the room, dragging the whiteboard out with him, before quickly coming back with another drawing board, this one completely pitch black. Dragging it into the locker room and setting it up himself.
Buster: And take this.
Buster hands Romero his own signature marker, a marker that looks identical to the marker Romero brought himself. As Buster sits back down to now listen to Romero, as Romero looks completely befuddled.
Romero: Buster…..both my and your marker are black.
Buster: Yeah, of course, as they should be!
Romero: ….you realize the difficulty of using this on a black background yes?
Buster: What do you mean? It’s all black, so what’s the issue here?
Romero: …...Buster, you will not be able to see anything I write or draw, the marker and background will blend in with each other.
Buster: It’s….uh….representative of all black people coming together as one! Yes!....that was on purpose!
Romero: That’s great, won’t help me explain what I plan to do, i’m just gonna get the whiteboard for today, and we can bring differently colored markers next time.
Romero then turns around to go push the blackboard out of there…..but before he can even grab it, we see hands grab it from behind, and slam the blackboard onto the ground! Buster quickly pops up to his feet, looking enraged at someone damaging his blackboard, as we see the people behind this, Dalidus Nova and Miles Alpha, who step onto the now grounded blackboard, Alpha looking with a cocky smirk at both Romero and Buster, and Nova who would probably be doing the same thing if he was not currently eating a chocolate chip cookie.
Alpha: Hey! So sorry to interrupt like this, just thought we’d pop in to see some fellow wrestlers discuss some strategy. You the brains behind this Steve? You sure your brain ain’t still scrambled up from last time? I mean, you still probably got more than your buddy over there, but can you really be confident you’re making good strategy in your current state.
Nova: (With mouth full of cookie) YEAH! LIKE IT’LL (HEAVY MUCHING SOUNDS) BE ANY WORTH AGAINST (MORE MUCHING SOUNDS) AN ASS KICKER LIKE IVANOV!
Alpha: Or when me and Dalidus both got our eyes right on you, and leave poor little Buster all alone.
Romero stares with deep anger at The Young Cardinals, as he begins to speak with venom in his voice.
Romero: Now listen to me clearly! You motherfu-
Buster: HEY! YOU UNTOASTED MARSHMALLOWS! WE’RE GONNA MOP THE FLOOR WITH YOUR SNOWMAN ASSES! JUST LIKE I’VE ALREADY DONE!
Nova: Stephen, buddy, you just (various eating noises) gonna let yourself be talked over by your associates like that?
Buster: We are EQUALS! Not just associates!
Alpha: Sure you’re equal to the 6’9 300 pound man, obviously. Now, to make this easier on all of us, I was thinking-
Alpha takes a step towards Romero, putting his hand on the shoulder of a Romero glaring daggers at him.
Alpha: You just don’t show up. You don’t risk another chair to your back, Buster takes the same walloping he would anyways, and we all leave as healthy as we can. Like a capitalist willingly resigning and fleeing before the firing squads line up. What do you say-
Romero then forcefully grabs Alpha’s arm, and squeezes on it! Alpha beginning to yell out in pain! Romero just continuing to shoot his glare as he does this, before Nova grabs Alpha to forcefully pull him away!
Nova: What the fuck was that asshole! That’s my damned friend! What gives you the right!
Romero: It’s what happens to those who ask me to abandon those I care about. I don’t leave the side of my brothers, sisters, and siblings. It’s that simple, now get the fuck out of here!
Nova: You putting your eggs into that fucking basket then? Well don’t come complaining to us when the bottom falls out and they all crack on the ground! You’ll get what’s coming to you later!
Alpha grits his teeth in pain, as Nova gets by his side, checking in on Alpha’s arm as they exit. Romero staring right at them the whole time to make sure they don’t try anything funny, as we then hear-
Buster: So, untoasted marshmallows like them right?
Romero: Buster, i’m not sure how well that phrase will catch on.
Buster: When we mold this place in our image, the power of our culture will make anything we do catch on!
Romero: I….i’m just gonna go get the whiteboard, and we can do what we came here for.
Romero then exits the scene to go get his whiteboard, as Buster then takes a seat back down, and takes out a hair pick to run through his hair as he waits on Romero, as we fade out.
We come back to our scene, as Doctor Ishamel Yellowstone vs Dexter Flux is up next! Bad Medicine by Bon Jovi comes through the speakers, as DIY comes out to the ring, carrying two signs with him, one stating “CAUGHT THE COLD? PUT YOURSELF UNDER THE BROILER AT 450 F/230 C TO WARM YOURSELF UP! MAKE SURE TO PRE-HEAT!” and “FEELING DEPRESSED? START WORKING OUT WITH BENCH PRESSES TO ADD MORE PRESS INTO YOUR LIFE!” to a largely unwarm reception. As then when DIY finishes his entrance, we hear Cantaloupe Island by Herbie Hancock jaunt through the speakers, as we see the native of Orange County, California in Dexter Flux come out onto the entranceway. Clad in his “The Horde” jacket he found on the floor and probably just thought looked neat.
Crowd: WOOOOOOOOOOOOO!
As he makes his way down to the ring, he stops to interact with several fans, making his cue to interact not through approaching them, but through turning his whole body and staring directly at them until they motion him to come over, upon which he gives each and every fan that asks for one an overly long, overly polite handshake. He eventually makes his way over to the ring apron, and steps into it. He comes in, and gives two very drawn out handshakes with excessive eye contract, first to Mia, then to his opponent in DIY. Mia then gets confirmation from both competitors that they are ready, and calls for the bell!
DING DING DING
As the bell rings, DIY desperately wanting to prove himself, charges towards Flux and goes to knock him out with his Accu-PUNCH-ure KO Punch! But Flux jumps up to dodge out the way, and nails DIY with the “El Backflip” dropkick! Sending DIY to the ground! Flux then confidently feels like he can end it already, as he lifts DIY into a fireman’s, and the crowd sensing what could come next perks up, as Flux begins to twirl around to dizzy both himself and his opponent with an airplane spin!
Crowd: OHHHHHHHHHHH! YES! YES! YES! YES! YES! YES! YES! YES!
Paisner: BY GOD, THE SUPER INCREDIBLE OH MY GOD NO WAY UNBELIEVABLE UNDEFEATABLE CRITIAL MASS AIRPLANE SPIN! THIS IS OVERKILL FROM FLUX! HE SENDS YELLOWSTONE OFF HIS SHOULDERS! FLUX FALLS INTO THE COVER!
On- NO! A kickout from DIY at 0.5!
Crowd: WOAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!
Paisner: HOLY SHIT! HOW’D HE DO IT?! UNBELIEVABLE!
Flux then senses a new opportunity, as the airplane spin keeps DIY solidly grounded, Flux scales to the top rope, before flipping forward as he jumps off, and landing right on DIY’s neck with the “Quantum Flux” Somersault Leg Drop!
Crowd: OHHHHHHHHHHHH!
Flux into the cover!
1!
2!
3!
DING DING DING
And Dexter Flux wins in 54 seconds! Of which he pops off in excitement! Going over to the crowd to celebrate with them, and ensuing many times where a crowd member wants a high five and he gives them a fistbump, and many times where they want a fistbump and he gives them a high five, before Flux heads through the curtain to the back.
COMMERCIAL
We come back to the ring, where we see Javier in the middle, ready to go.
Javier: The following contest is a singles match set for one fall, with a 30 minute time limit! Introducing first...
Sacred War hits the PA as 4 members of The Vanguard walk out from behind the curtain, first Miles Alpha, then Dalidus Nova, then Ernesto Vargas, then finally, the brutish Viktor Ivanov. His accompanying men all looking cocky and confident on his behalf, while Ivanov looks brutally focused, only destruction on his mind.
Javier: Introducing first, from St. Petersburg, Russia, weighing in tonight at 227 pounds, and accompanied by The Vanguard, VIKTOOOOOOOOOOR IIIIIVAAAANOV!
Crowd: BOOOOOOOOOOO!
Paisner: And that…..that is a dangerous man with a dangerous crew. Ivanov, a man who will bruise you into the mat one moment, then tear a limb off the next, already a competitor to fear. Now add on three men at his side willing to do anything to secure victory, and all Buster has to counteract is one friend?......that makes this a whole ‘nother ordeal entirely.
Vargas and The Cardinals play cheerleader for Ivanov the whole way down, hyping him up, hyping his ability, what he will do to Buster, taunting the crowd in the process, as Ivanov looks straight ahead the whole time. He makes it to the ring apron, quickly adjusts his mask, before stepping through the ropes into the ring, as all his partners take a spot right at the corner. Awaiting their opposition.
The initially funky notes, followed by the loud guitar of Freaky Black Greetings by Mos Def BLASTS through the speakers, as we see one Buster Braggadocio. Coming out in a vest with flashy red pants….and also coming out with a 6 foot 9, 300 pounder accompanying him.
Javier: Introducing next, from Atlanta, Georgia, weighing in at 220 pounds, and accompanied by Stephen Romero, Buster Braggadocio!
Crowd: Mixed Reception
Paisner: And now, Buster Braggadocio down to the ring, hot off of besting Nova at our anniversary show, but certainly not done with The Vanguard at all. As he and Romero’s attempt to seek justice for what was done to Romero last week led to a confrontation, bringing us to this moment. We know he’s capable of overcoming being outnumbered, we know he’s capable of doing what it takes to win, but is he capable when things are this lopsided? That remains to be seen.
Romero and Buster talk amongst one another most of the way down, Romero seemingly trying to keep Buster in check of saying anything too offensive. Mostly working, as only a few “crackers” slip through in Buster’s interactions with the audience. Buster reaches the ring apron with confidence, as Romero shoots a glare at The Vanguard in Ivanov’s corner. Buster steps through the ropes and into the ring, taking a spot in a corner, as Wong signals to both competitors to see if they’re ready, and getting nods, calls for the bell!
DING DING DING
The two wrestlers begin to circle ‘round another. Ivanov looks more annoyed than angry at the simple presence of Buster, as Buster’s face looks cocky and determined, as Ivanov then tries to quickly get on Buster and grasp him! But Buster moves out of the way, and gives Ivanov a slap to the back of the head as he slips behind him!
Crowd: Mixed reactions
Woodbridge: Buster garnering mixed feelings from the crowd, his actions and words are all rather similar to what they already were, but the right enemies and the right friends? I can tell you, those two things go a long way. During one of my phases where I was generally being cheered, I faced a guy pretty similar to Ivanov, and this was when the USSR was still around, so he was getting boo’d out the building every night. You know what I did when I fought him? Eye pokes and low blows? You know what I got for that? Massive cheers. Same idea to a lesser extent can apply here.
Buster laughs at the slap, as Ivanov’s annoyance now actually does turn into anger, as he turns around and rushes at Buster again, who gets caught off guard at Ivanov coming back at him again that quickly! Ivanov pushing him into a corner, before sending his body into Buster’s midsection with shoulder thrusts in the corner! Driving the air out of Buster’s body! As he doubles over in the corner! Ivanov then runs off to the opposite corner, before coming back, and going to club Buster with a lariat in the corner! But Buster jumps up, and Ivanov runs right into Buster’s knee! Stumbling back holding at his nose!
Crowd: WOOOOOOOOO!
Buster then runs up to Ivanov, and just as Ivanov tries to get back to a fighting stance, Buster jumps up again to clock him in the head with a high knee! Leaving Ivanov stunned in his feet in the middle of the ring! Buster then slips behind Ivanov, grabbing his head from behind, before dropping the back of Ivanov’s head onto his knee in a neckbreaker!
Crowd: OHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!
Ivanov writhes around on the mat, holding at the back of his neck, before Buster jumps up into the air, and comes down on top of Ivanov’s upper chest with a leaping double foot stomp!
Crowd: OHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!
Painser: Geez! Buster sending his body weight into the chest of Ivanov! Caving his chest in!
Ivanov is clearly struggling to breathe, holding at his upper chest, as Buster crawls into the cover!
1! No! Kickout from Ivanov!
Buster instantly grasps Ivanov as he kicks out, grabbing his arm as Ivanov flicks his shoulder up, using it to pull Ivanov back up. Buster then pulls Ivanov in, and nails him in the head with a short arm forearm! Rocking Ivanov, as he’s doubled over from the impact. Buster then pulls Ivanov’s arm to fully stand him up again, before pulling him in for a second short arm forearm shot! This one dropping Ivanov to a knee! Buster wrings on the arm to get Ivanov back up once more, as he then whips Ivanov into a corner, rushing at him, and turning around to nail him in the head with a back elbow!
Crowd: OHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!
Buster then gets off of Ivanov, who begins to stumble towards the center of the ring in a daze, as Buster then goes to run the ropes!......but suddenly his momentum stops, as he turns around, and sees both Nova and Alpha holding one of his legs, and Vargas on the other! Preventing him from moving!
Crowd: BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!
Paisner: Vanguard holding Buster at bay! Trying to prevent more damage to Ivanov!
Buster turns around, and begins yelling “WHAT YOU ARE CRACKERS DOING?!” as Wong rushes over to reprimand all our ringside guests, who release before they risk a disqualification. Buster then turns his head back around, as he see Ivanov still in the middle of the ring, and goes back to charging him!.....but it seems Ivanov was baiting that out! As we see him recover, grab the charging Buster, and toss him across the ring in a overhead belly-to-belly suplex! Buster crashing hard to the mat!
Crowd: OHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!
Woodbridge: Vanguard buying Ivanov just enough time to recover, allowing him to bait out a predictable move from Buster, and destroy him for it!
Buster writhes around on the mat, holding at his back in agony! Buster rolls onto his stomach as he goes to crawl over to the ropes, trying to pull himself up, as Ivanov from behind stalks him. As Buster pulls himself just a bit, Ivanov grabs him from behind! Locking him in a waist-lock, before tossing him back with a release german suplex! Buster landing roughly on his neck and shoulders!
Crowd: OHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!
Buster is crumpled up on the mat, the momentum from the german forcing him onto his stomach, as Ivanov approaches him again, and just lays down a vicious stomp into the back of Buster! Buster tensing up his whole body in pain!
Crowd: BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!
Ivanov then sinks to the ground himself to grasp Buster in a front facelock, lifting him up by it, as he wrenches it in to further Buster’s discomfort, before beginning to lift his knees right into Buster’s face! Sending knee after knee into the head of Buster! Before pulling his knee back as far as he can, before sending a powerful knee right into the face of Buster! Letting his grasp of Buster slip as Buster crashes roughly to the mat!
Crowd: OHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!
Paisner: Ivanov completely mauling Buster! Suplexes and brutal strikes a plenty!
Buster’s eyes stare into the abyss, as he on instinct alone tries to sit up, but the damage he just took makes the process a slow one. Buster still though gradually sits himself up…..just to be instantly put down as Ivanov charges, and nails him in the chest with a penalty kick!
Crowd: OHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!
Paisner: Vicious kick to the chest from Ivanov! Keeping Buster on the mat as he goes into a cover!
1!
2! No! Kickout from Buster!
But as Buster did to him earlier, as Buster shoots his shoulder up to kick out, Ivanov grabs it! But instead of using it to lift Buster up, he wraps his legs around Buster’s arm, and uses it to hook Buster into a seated armbar!
Paisner: Ivanov with an armbar on Buster! At worst, he does a lot to wear Buster out, and at best, he shreds Buster apart!
Buster yells out in pain, as Ivanov wrenches back on his arm! Tearing it apart bit by bit, as Buster grits his teeth together to try and stop more yells of horror coming out from him! Buster extends his arm out, and finds he’s nowhere near the ropes, and so begins to try and push himself towards the ropes! Using his free arm to try and crawl his way over, but Ivanov upon realizing what Buster is attempting, wrenches back on the arm some more! Eliciting more screams of pain from Buster, as he’s stopped right in his tracks from the agony he’s experiencing!
Crowd: OHHHHHHHHHHHHH!
Buster struggles around more, trying to find some sort of escape, shuffling around to no avail! He tries to grab at Ivanov’s arm with his free one to pull him off, but Ivanov and his burly build resist! Powering through this attempt to pry him off!
Paisner: The strength of Ivanov shining through, preventing Buster from crawling, preventing him from brute forcing his way out of it, this situation looks more and more dangerous for Buster by the second!
Buster grimaces more through the pain he’s going through, as he now instead of trying to brute force it, begins to use his free arm to take pot shots at the back of Ivanov! Trying to loosen Ivanov up, and eventually, he clubs Ivanov’s back enough to where he loosens up just a tad bit, and is able to use his free arm to begin to crawl towards the ropes! Ivanov however goes to quickly adjust, as after a moment of crawling, he’s prepared to wrench back on Buster’s arm again! But Buster anticipates this time, and begins to club at Ivanov again to stop him from doing so! And it works out! Buying Buster more time to crawl towards the ropes, as finally he gets close and reaches out!.....before we see Nova and Alpha come over to pull the bottom rope away, and Vargas come over to pull the middle rope away! Preventing Buster from being able to reach it as he stretches his arm out!
Crowd: BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!
But suddenly, we see Stephen Romero rush around the corner, and shoulder block an unsuspecting Vargas! Sending Vargas flying across the ringside area!
Crowd: WOAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!
Vargas lands roughly on his back on the outside, as Nova and Alpha suddenly turn their heads towards Romero, letting go of the rope to both come at him! Romero meets them, as he and the cardinals trade shots!
Crowd: WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!
Meanwhile in the ring, with the ropes now closer to him, Buster goes to reach out for them! But suddenly, Ivanov takes the moment to wrench back on the arm! Stopping Buster right in his tracks as the pain is too much to bear!
Crowd: NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!
Meanwhile on the outside, while due to his size, we see Romero go toe to toe with two men striking him for a while, eventually the numbers advantage of Nova and Alpha begins to win out, as they strike and club on Romero, forcing him to a knee, as the two then grab Romero by the head, and set him up for a dual DDT!.............before suddenly Romero bursts through, lifting up both Nova and Alpha to back body drop both of them onto the ground!
Crowd: WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!
Wong goes over to the ropes to look out at the situation, handing out warnings to everyone, which gives Buster the opportunity for one more tactic, reaching out with his free arm to deliver an eye rake to Ivanov! Finally forcing him off!
Crowd: Mixed Reactions
Paisner: Buster finally out of the armbar! And the crowd seems to like that he’s not in said hold anymore….and less so the means to get out of it.
Ivanov keels over on the ground, holding at his eye, yelling out in both pain and frustration, as we see Buster clutch tightly at his arm, using his good one to crawl to the ropes, as both men go to get up! Both get up at around the same time, but Ivanov’s damage having been less, manages to charge first! Rushing right at Buster, but doing so right into a kick to the gut! Doubling him over! Allowing Buster to underhook both of Ivanov’s arms, before flipping over into a frontflip backstabber! The impact popping Ivanov up into the air!
Crowd: OHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!
Paisner: BRAGGADOCIO LUNG BLOWER! BUSTER NOT ONLY SAVING THE MATCH FOR HIMSELF, BUT PERHAPS PUTTING HIM ON TRACK TO TAKE IT!
Buster rests on the mat for a moment in exhaustion, his breathing deep and heavy, before managing to turn over after a good few moments, and crawling his way on top of Ivanov!
1!
2!
No! Kickout from Ivanov!
Crowd: WOAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!
Buster quickly sits up and goes to spring into action, pulling something out from his trunks, his marker! He grabs Ivanov’s head, and uses it to mark on X right on the forehead!
Crowd: WOOOOOOOOOOOO!
Paisner: Buster! Looking to finish Ivanov off!
Woodbridge: And not in a gay way!
Buster stands up, backing himself into a corner, taking a moment to clutch at his arm as he awaits for Ivanov to sit up, which after a moment, he begins to do! Upon which Buster yells-
Buster: X MARKS THE SPOT BAYBAY!
Buster then charges out the corner, and goes to eliminate him with a vicious knee!.....but Ivanov ducks his head under at the last moment, and actually manages to grab Buster’s leg to trip him! Buster faceplanting on the mat! As Ivanov goes to quickly turn it around, maneuvering his way on top of Buster, and grabbing him in a gutwrench! Standing up from it, deadlifting Buster up into the air as he does so!
Paisner: Ivanov with the gutwrench! He could be turning Buster’s finish into his own, with his Gutwrench Piledriver in The Karelin Lift! How quickly the tides turn!
Ivanov then gives a roar, and goes to lift Buster into position to spike him! But as he does, Buster’s legs go up near Ivanov’s head, giving Buster a chance to hook his legs around them, and hurricanrana Ivanov across the ring! Escaping the situation!
Crowd: WOAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!
Buster lands on his front on all fours, Ivanov landing on his back and skidding across the ring! Buster pushes himself up to his feet, as he notices a dazed Ivanov trying to push himself back up, and charges him, this time connecting with a successful knee to the head!
Crowd: OHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!
Paisner: BRAVADO BUSTER! THIS HAS TO BE IT! BUSTER INTO THE COVER!
1!
2!
Suddenly, we see Vargas on the outside recover, and run over to try and grab Wong out of the ring to stop the count!
3!
But Romero inrercepts again! Grabbing him in waistlock before tossing him away from the ring to stop him!
DING DING DING
Javier: And your winner via pinfall, at a time of 14:20, BUSTER BRAGGADOCIO!
Crowd: Mixed, but leaning positive reactions
Paisner: And Buster Braggadocio! Managing to come out on top through a mix of Vanguard, and his own shenanigans!
Woodbridge: It’s a great way to handle being outnumbered, your opponent got a lot of friends? Make sure your one friend is 300 pounds so he can stop nonsense himself, giving you openings for your nonsense! Brilliant! And this has to make Vanguard especially angry seeing Buster come out with a win yet again.
We hear Buster let out a loud “WOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!” before running out of energy, and just laying on the mat for a moment, as we see Vanguard on the outside all recovering and licking their wounds. Grabbing Ivanov, and taking him out of the ring to the back. Shooting glares back into the ring at Buster and Romero. As Romero himself slides in with a water bottle, as he makes sure Buster is hydrated.
Buster then makes his way up to his feet, where he then raises a single fist into the air in celebration and pride. As he and Romero then begin to make their ways out. Buster being loud and bold with the audience in celebrating his victory, as Romero seems to be somewhat rushing things to avoid giving Buster time to say anything too bad, as they head through the curtains to the back.
The lights then dim out for a moment, as ringside crew clear out and clean ringside, giving fans some time to get concessions before the main, before eventually the lights come back up, where we see Javier ready to go as ever.
Javier: The following match is set for one fall-
Crowd: ONE FALL!
Javier: And has a 30 minute time limit, and it is for the Number 1 Contendership for the WiR Independent Title!!
Crowd: WOOOO!!!!
A hard rock song begins to reverberate throughout the arena, and it builds up before the power chords hit and Dick Dover hits the arena to boos as he bursts through the curtain with a stone cold stare on his face. The balding, bearded man makes his way towards the ring and sneers at the fans who mock him as he walks by. One kid with a Milkman sign raises it up in Dover’s face and Dover grabs the sign and throws it in the middle of the walkway as Dover continues his path to the ring.
Paisner: Dick Dover, a competitor here in WiR who is relatively new, sure has a nasty attitude for someone who used to be a refereeing official.
Woodbridge: I’m tellin ya, Pais, they may seem composed but deep down they all just want to punch the snot out of someone. All that time spent yelling at wrestlers who don’t listen- it’s no wonder Dick snapped!
Javier: Making his way to the ring, weighing 220 pounds, from Toronto, Ontario, Canada. DIIICK DOOOO-VVEERRRRR!!!
Crowd: BBOOOOOOOOO!!!!
Dover rolls under the ring and starts lecturing the referee on the rules he expects to be followed, and Tai Ni Wong assures him that the rules will be upheld, before a different theme, that reeks of not being able to afford music rights hits the venue!
Tony Stevens enters the venue, as a spotlight shines on him and the two milk maids on either side of him as the generic theme music swells and Tony raises a milk container to the sky and the crowd is mostly cheers for The Milkman.
Javier: Making his way to the ring, from Brooklyn, New York, weighing in at 181 pounds, “EL HIJOO DEL MILKMANN”, TONNYY STEEEEVEEENSSS!!!
The crowd cheers once again and Tony happens upon the sign in the aisle, picking it up and handing it back to the kid in the milkman merch as he pulls out a milk bottle and hands it to the small child!
Paisner: That’s.. A little infantile for a child that size?
Woodbridge: Pais, why did he have a baby’s milk bottle on his person is what I’d like to know.
Tony now puts the milk container on the ring apron as he rolls under the ring and goes up to the turnbuckle to pose. Tony hops back down and Tai Ni Wong inspects his gear for foreign objects. Before Wong goes to inspect Dover, Dick begins complaining loudly to Wong.
Dover: Hey, stupid! You left a foriegn object on the apron! CLEAR violation!
Dover moves Wong out of the way and grabs the container, rolling to the outside with it and taking his sweet time as he places it on the ground outside of the ring, then taking time to adjust his boots and tie them as the crowd begins to boo.
Paisner: The stalling here seems unnecessary but Dover is a mentally astute competitor who I’m certain is trying to throw The Milkman off with this prolonged delay to the match.
Dover rolls back into the ring and dusts off himself as Wong now inspects Dover’s gear, finds nothing, and appears to confirm both competitors are ready.
Paisner: And this match should be a thriller, as these two have faced off before. These two know each other very well and are competing for a title shot.
DING DING DING
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